Saturday, January 17, 2009

Russian oligarch, former KGB spy says "Hugo Chavez, president of Venezuela, will fall out of power; Ukraine president will be declared insane!"

The Russian suitor of a London newspaper professes to be a different kind of oligarch.
Should we believe the former spy? While the average Russian oligarch was flaunting fur and partying hard in the ski resort of Courchevel earlier this month, Alexander Lebedev went on holiday to the desert. He sat there barefoot, in shorts and a T-shirt, surrounded by sand and not a lot else. Scorning snowy Alpine excess, he professed: “Personally I prefer an educational break.”
Richard Woods and Mark Franchetti in Moscow
Quite what he learnt from staring at the sky amid the dunes remains obscure, but two things seem clear: first, he is far from the typical billionaire minted in Moscow’s Wild East; and second, during his retreat to the wilderness he decided to press ahead with plans to acquire the London newspaper the Evening Standard.

For a former KGB spy to buy a newspaper owned by the 4th Viscount Rothermere, the proprietor of the Daily Mail, might seem remarkable. Nevertheless, a sale appeared close yesterday. As lawyers were haggling over subclauses, a source with knowledge of proceedings said: “Details are still being resolved, but a deal looks more and more likely. There seems to be an upside for both principals.”

Rothermere would offload a newspaper believed to be losing £10m or more a year, which is why the rumoured purchase price is just £1. And Lebedev, who likes to engage in politics, would add to his media holdings and get a public platform outside Russia.

Not that he intends to interfere, of course. Last week the billionaire vowed that he would be an “absolutely” hands-off proprietor, and some who know him reckoned he would be true to his word. “There is nothing sinister in his wish to buy the paper - no hidden agenda,” said a friend of the tycoon. “It’s not a lot of money by Russian standards and it’s about kudos. For him, it’s hip to buy a London paper. It’s good for his image.”

On the other hand, in a blog posting on December 27, Lebedev made a curious claim among several predictions for 2009. “One of the oldest and most famous newspapers in Europe will be sold to a Russian,” he wrote. “It will be a step towards creating an international media resource, which will counter the anti-liberal tendencies of increased authoritarianism in the world.”

Cripes. Is he Nostradamovich or could he have been referring to the Evening Standard, founded in 1827?

One of the most intriguing aspects of Lebedev is his playfulness and complexity. Sometimes you never quite know whether he is joking. likes to say he is not as rich as people think, describing himself as a “potato grower”, often wearing jeans and Converse trainers (sometimes with no laces), and complaining about his inclusion in Forbes magazine’s list of the richest people in the world. Yet Forbes reckoned that in 2008 he was worth $3.1 billion and was one of the 400 richest people.

Even if, as Lebedev claims, he has lost a lot in the credit crunch, he is hardly down to his last spud. He is happy to be seen as a liberal independent who voices criticism of the Kremlin. Yet Vladimir Putin, the Russian prime minister and former president, has never moved against Lebedev in the way that he has against other oligarchs and irritants.

“He’s a bit of a maverick, Alexander,” said one of Moscow’s tycoons who has known Lebedev since the early 1990s. “It’s true that he says things the other oligarchs would not dare utter, especially when he publicly criticises the government. On the other hand, this being Russia it would be a mistake to think of him as an opposition figure. In my view he’s closer to those in power than he likes to admit publicly. In Putin’s Russia there is no way someone the Kremlin dislikes would be allowed to keep the kind of assets Lebedev has. Just take his Aeroflot stake, for instance. It’s a state airline. Who are you kidding about being in opposition?”

At the same time, Lebedev is close to Mikhail Gorbachev, who is seen as a friend of the West, goes to enormous trouble to raise funds for charity and is planning a memorial in Russia to the victims of the Soviet gulags.

So who is this guy: tinker, tailor, media-mogul, philanthropist or spy?

Now 49, Lebedev was born into a privileged family of Soviet academics. His mother was an English-language teacher at one of Moscow’s most prestigious universities and his father was an engineering professor. He went to some of the Soviet Union’s best schools and graduated from the elite Institute of International Relations where he studied economics. From there he joined the KGB’s Foreign Intelligence Academy in 1983 and clearly showed early promise. He was soon posted to London.

Contacts he made there led him into business back in Russia; in the chaotic aftermath of the Soviet Union’s collapse he built a banking empire before expanding into other sectors, such as airlines and media. “It doesn’t matter how smart you are,” said one businessman who knows Lebedev. “In Russia, to become as successful as Lebedev has, one must have serious connections, either in politics or in intelligence, or both. His businesses have received backing and support in the right places.”

In 2003 he ran for the mayoralty of Moscow and for a seat in the state Duma. He failed to become mayor but was elected an MP. Since then he has become increasingly populist, criticising other oligarchs, including Roman Abramovich, the owner of Chelsea football club, for failing to do enough for ordinary Russians. “If a person buys airplanes, yachts and football clubs abroad, who is going to like this?” he once said. “Some somehow spend [their riches] only on personal consumption, but others somehow try to make the residents of this country the beneficiaries of this.” He and his son Evgeny (pronounced Yevgeny) became known in Britain after hosting, and paying for, charity balls that raised money for the Raisa Gorbachev Foundation, which provides treatment for children with cancer in Russia and elsewhere.

Father and son, who are only 20 years apart, get on well and have been known to hit the town together. Evgeny is sometimes portrayed as a playboy - he was once linked to the former Spice Girl Geri Halliwell and is now reportedly dating the actress Joely Richardson - who is interested not so much in the global battle against authoritarianism as London nightspots such as Annabel's and Boujis.

The image is not entirely fair. Evgeny is also an entrepreneur with interests in fashion, films and restaurants, as well as being an art buff. One friend recalls admiring a sculpture on a tomb in the Vatican when his mobile rang. “It was Evgeny, and he knew all about the artist,” said the friend. “He’s really very knowledgeable.”

The Lebedevs and their bid for the Standard seem to be welcomed by at least some powers at the newspaper. On Friday it ran a large and positive feature about Russians in London, complete with some handy translations. They included the phrase “A futbol’niy klub Chelsea takzhe prodayostsya”: “Is Chelsea football club for sale, too?”

In the world of espionage, the great fear is of infiltration by a double agent. Those of a feverish imagination might ask: could this be Lebedev? Is the former KGB man out to get a toehold in the western media for purposes that will become clear only later? The less excitable say that’s far too John le Carré; and Lebedev has long played down his spying, suggesting it involved little more than reading newspapers, including the Standard. Just how multifaceted the billionaire is, however, was apparent at the launch party of the Russian version of Tatler last September: a bling-filled bash on a boat on the Moscow river. It took place shortly after conflict had broken out between Russia and its former republic, Georgia.

Lebedev criticised the Russian government - but also castigated the western press for failing to understand Russia. “The reason we are mistrusted is that our political system is wrong but, on the other side, I think there’s too many wrong things said about Russia,” he told one guest. “Everybody in the world says,‘This is the old, aggressive, Soviet-style Russia now attacking a small democratic and very peaceful state’. I think that Russia had no other way to behave. We mishandled this from the point of view of propaganda, of explaining our position; and with the West - they should be a bit more objective.”

It is also notable how Lebedev reacted on the one known occasion where his interests clashed with Putin. When a small Russian tabloid that Lebedev owned published a story alleging that Putin was having an affair with an Olympic gymnast, Putin was furious. Both he and the gymnast denied the claim - and Lebedev reacted by closing the paper.

Even those who have spent some time with Lebedev find it hard to pin him down. Patrick Forbes, a film maker who made a documentary about Russian oligarchs, believes he’s an opportunist, not an ideologue. “He’s a man who delights in game playing,” said Forbes. “I don’t think his KGB past is so significant. If you were clever, sophisticated and had languages, you had few options other than the KGB in Soviet Russia. I don’t think it speaks of any deep-seated suspicion of the West, or political belief. “Like Abramovich, he isn’t getting into English society just for respectability. It’s for safety, too, as visibility in the West makes it more tricky for Putin, or anyone else, to attack him or take him down.”

Edward Lucas, author of the The New Cold War, is more cautious. “Although the financial crisis has hit the Russian super-rich hard, it’s relative,” he said. “Rich British people are not going over to Russia buying newspapers. What we are seeing is a rich Russian, of whose motives we can never be completely certain, making an acquisition that will give him access to one of the citadels of British public life.”

On his blog last month the enigmatic Lebedev made a number of other prognostications, as well as his one about a Russian buying a venerable newspaper. “Hugo Chavez [president of Venezuela] will fall out of power,” he wrote. “Victor Yushchenko [president of Ukraine] will be declared insane. Barack Obama will solve the economic crisis in the USA.” And there was one other prediction too: “A. Lebedev will leave the Forbes list and become an ordinary citizen, a small and medium-scale entrepreneur.”

Playful or not?

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